How Startups Can Succeed In the New Low-Valuation World

2022-07-27 16:31:46
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If you find yourself at an opulent ball, waltzing beneath chandeliers in the crystal shoes your godmother got you from Versace, it's easy to get carried away.

Still, sooner or later, the clocks will strike midnight, and the shiny new Tesla that brought you to the castle will turn into a pumpkin in another step toward sustainability for the brand.

This is precisely what's happening on the startup scene today. For all the grim prophecies of the pandemic-era doomsayers, 2021 was a stellar year for founders, producing more unicorn startups than the previous five years combined. In 2022, however, things could not have been more different — startup valuations are down as venture capitalists get more conservative in their offerings.

By now, we all know what has happened. The stock market is in shambles, with NASDAQ shedding almost 30 percent over the past six months. Inflation is rising, with the U.S. posting record levels and the rest of the world following suit. Strained supply lines, the wheat and gas price hikes on the back of the Russian invasion into Ukraine, and many other pressures weigh down on the global economy. Investors have to adjust their strategies.

Related: How Startups Can Attract the Right Type of Investors

As a result, a new wind is blowing over the tech scene. Tech giants are taking a beating as their equity investment efforts are beginning to bite back. Large and small companies are laying off staff and cranking down their hiring goals. Startups are told to plan for the worst and be more cautious with their war chests, as those may be harder to refill down the line.

So how should startups adapt?

Weathering the storm

There seems to be an attitude adjustment across the tech scene, which may have been overdue. In today's turbulent times, entrepreneurs and pundits urge against betting on the hyper-scaling strategy. Growth for the sake of change will no longer cut it, and it is time to focus on sustainable business models built into the project from its advent.

Such assessments are hard to disagree with. We lived for too long in an age of companies raising wild sums without turning in a profit in the first place. It may be tempting to keep fundraising, but you are just postponing the inevitable. When the tide turns, this formula reveals its hazardous nature as money becomes harder to secure.

Related: Coronavirus and a Looming Recession: How to Raise Capital in Uncertain Times

Moving forward, companies must focus on creating real value for the customer. A product must stand on its own, underpinned by a genuine business need and deliver outcomes that matter. It should be designed to withstand downturns and periods when businesses look for ways to trim their expenses. Building products that are too good to give up is the most straightforward way to hedge against future downturns.

Many founders I've recently spoken with, including Ronen Korman, CEO of Datorios, share this view. "Only great-quality products will survive the storm," Ronen said. "Building those is first and foremost a matter of increasing the investment on your talent. At the same time, it is important to streamline your overall spending and grow leaner and meaner, not skinnier... In times like these, companies must be fast, effective, agile, and obsessive over their product, clients, and talent."

Turning crisis into an opportunity

While the current market conditions leave much to be desired, savvy founders can still utilize some factors to keep their heads above the water and thrive. For example, layoffs and the Great Resignation could create a significant opportunity for companies to expand their talent base strategically. Stephie Knopel, Co-Founder of hiring AI company Unboxable, shared her take on the current hiring market.

"When a crisis rears its head, hiring doesn't completely stop," Stephie told me. "It's quite the contrary for some businesses: Experience from previous crises tells us middle-market companies are more resilient in uncertain times. They don't stop hiring. Rather, they capitalize on the opportunity to hire the talent they couldn't normally afford or attract."

Companies looking to build up their momentum despite the downturn must tap into the pool of talents laid off in recent months. They also need to get a clear sense of what qualities they are looking for and do more to find undiscovered leaders among the existing staff.

Some founders are less concerned with the economy's current state and prefer to focus on the bigger picture. The market will always go up and down. Some of the most fundamental, industry-shaping trends may expand into the future and give visionary projects momentum for moving onward and upward. Racheli Vizman, Co-Founder and CEO at SavorEat, argued that now is the time to be ambitious.

"While staring down the onset of a looming economic downturn, the typical and natural inclination is to slash R&D, cut spending, and curtail expansion plans," Racheli said. "To the contrary, as a nimble food-tech company amid the burgeoning Israeli food-tech ecosystem, we're doubling down on R&D and marketing and trying to accelerate our strategic growth plans with partners. We've got our eye on the long game, and the mega-trends of food sustainability, health and wellness, and personalization aren't going anywhere."

The commitment to playing the long game is commendable, as investors often want to see a vision, not just a product. Another lesson for prospective founders is that the market will always move in cycles. This doesn't mean innovation has to stop when bears take the reins. Sure, investors will hardly be as generous as they were, but innovative products built to deliver real value will always win their favor and wallets.

Related: Lessons for the Young Startup Leader: How to Get Through an Economic Downturn

参考译文
创业公司如何在新的低估值世界中取得成功
如果你发现自己置身于一场奢华的舞会中,穿着仙女教母从范思哲送来的水晶鞋,在水晶吊灯下跳着华尔兹,很容易会沉醉其中。然而,无论你多么沉醉,终究钟声会敲响午夜,那辆把你送到城堡的崭新特斯拉也会变成南瓜,这是该品牌迈向可持续发展的又一步。今天,初创公司圈中正在上演类似的场景。尽管疫情时期的悲观者曾做出无数悲观预言,但2021年仍是创业者们辉煌的一年,诞生的独角兽公司比此前五年加起来还多。然而,到了2022年,情况却大不一样了——初创公司的估值下跌,风险投资公司也开始变得更加保守。此时,我们都已清楚地知道发生了什么:股市一片混乱,过去六个月里纳斯达克指数下跌了近30%。通胀不断上升,美国创下历史记录,其他国家也纷纷跟进。供应链紧张、俄罗斯对乌克兰的入侵导致小麦和天然气价格飙升,以及其他一系列压力都对全球经济构成冲击。投资者不得不调整自己的策略。相关文章:初创企业如何吸引合适的投资者因此,一股新的风潮正在席卷科技界。科技巨头们正在承受打击,它们的投资努力开始反噬自身。大中小型公司纷纷裁员,收缩招聘计划。初创企业被告知要为最坏的情况做好准备,并更加谨慎地使用手中的资金,毕竟未来补充资金可能更加困难。初创公司应该如何适应?穿越风暴整个科技界似乎正在经历态度上的调整,这一调整或许已经迟来了。在当今动荡的局势中,企业家和评论人士纷纷呼吁放弃“极致扩张”策略。仅仅为了增长而增长已不再奏效,现在是时候专注于从一开始就构建可持续商业模式的项目了。这样的评估很难令人反对。我们太久以来都生活在一个公司疯狂融资却从未盈利的年代。继续融资或许诱人的,但你只是在拖延不可避免的结局。当风向转变时,这种模式的危险性就会暴露出来,因为融资将变得更加困难。相关文章:新冠疫情与即将来临的经济衰退:如何在不确定时期筹集资金未来,公司必须专注于为客户提供真正的价值。产品必须能够自立,以真实的需求为基础,带来有价值的成果。它应该被设计成能够抵御经济下行和企业削减成本的时期。打造那些好到让人难以放弃的产品,是最直接的方式来对抗未来的低迷。我最近与一些创始人交流,包括Datorios的首席执行官Ronen Korman,他们持有相同的观点。Ronen表示:“只有高质量的产品才能经受住这场风暴。打造这样的产品,首先要加大对人才的投资。同时,也要精简整体支出,变得更精炼、更有战斗力,而不是更瘦……在这样的时期,公司必须变得迅速、高效、敏捷,并对产品、客户和人才充满执着。”把危机变成机会尽管当前的市场状况不尽人意,但有远见的创业者仍可以利用一些因素来保持在水面上,并蓬勃发展。例如,裁员和“大辞职潮”可能为公司战略性的扩大人才库带来重大机会。招聘人工智能公司Unboxable的联合创始人Stephie Knopel分享了她对当前招聘市场的看法。Stephie告诉我:“当危机出现时,招聘并不会完全停止,相反,对某些企业来说,情况恰恰相反:从以往的危机中我们了解到,中型企业在不确定时期更具韧性。它们不会停止招聘,而是会利用这个机会,招聘那些他们原本无法负担或吸引的人才。”即使在经济低迷时期,想要积蓄前进动力的公司也必须充分利用最近几个月被裁员的人才资源。他们还必须明确自己正在寻找的特质,并更加努力地在现有员工中发现尚未被发掘的领导者。一些创始人对当前的经济状况不那么担忧,而更倾向于关注更大的图景。市场总会起伏波动。一些最根本的、塑造行业趋势的力量可能会在未来持续发展,并为那些有远见的项目带来前进的动力。SavorEat的联合创始人兼首席执行官Racheli Vizman认为,现在正是一个大胆进取的时期。Racheli说:“在经济衰退即将来临之际,人们通常的自然反应是削减研发,减少支出,缩小扩张计划。相反,作为一家敏捷的食品科技公司,并身处蓬勃发展的以色列食品科技生态中,我们正在加大对研发和营销的投资,并努力加速与合作伙伴的战略增长计划。我们着眼于长期目标,而食品可持续性、健康与福祉以及个性化等巨大趋势不会消失。”致力于打长期战是值得称赞的,因为投资者往往更看重愿景,而不仅仅是产品。对于那些有志于创业的人来说,另一个重要的教训是,市场总是周期性波动的。这并不意味着当熊市主导时,创新就必须停止。当然,投资者不会像以前那样慷慨,但那些能真正提供价值的创新产品,总会赢得他们的青睐和资金。相关文章:给年轻初创企业领导者的教训:如何度过经济低迷
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